We are slowly coming to the end of, understatement of the year, a period of very interesting weather, and slowly moving into a period best described as more mundane albeit, being the weather it will not be without interest. A quick and very short overview. Our weather in the medium term will be dominated by a complex upper trough fed by energy running east from the south east US seaboard under the high pressure to the north.
Back to more detail. It looks like the UK is entering into a N/S split period and at 00 the low and wrap around occlusion were over the south west and central England whilst the north still in the cold showery easterly. This regime will continue during today whilst further south one occlusion will weaken whilst a band of snow, sleet and rain associated with the second will push north, mainly affecting the west, from the south. It is this that finally introduce warmer air generally and initiate the beginning of the thaw during the day in the south (The sat image is for 0400)
So in a nutshell tonight pretty cloudy in England and Wales with patchy rain and sleet in the south and snow further north in Wales and the Midlands and snow showers continuing in the north east and Scotland.
By Sunday the N/S split is quite marked with low pressure dominating the UK with the centres to the south west. This leaves Scotland, N. Ireland and the far north of England still in the showery south easterly whilst the rest of the country is under a patchy rain, sleet and snow regime with the slow thaw continuing.
Keeping in mind the opening comments of this post vis the upper trough this is essentially where we stand Monday-Wednesday with low pressure influencing proceedings, Colder with snow showers in Scotland and the snow, rain and snow mixture continuing elsewhere as the slow thaw continues. The detail of this will vary but these are the gfs spot charts for the three days
I've mentioned a slow thaw a few times and temps are certainly creeping up but realistically Spring is not yet bursting forth and temps are still below average.